Can't stand Webb and her "quantitative futures," so thank you for this. My comment on futurists like this is always: If someone says "in the future you will..." they're selling something. In her case, it's her latest consulting vehicle.
The main problem I had with the likes of Sam Altman and company is their futures cone was described as a single line. That betrays a deterministic desire, not an evolving potential within an interconnected, complex ladder of adjacent possibles.
I don't blame her for projecting the determinism people want to hear under uncertainty. This is how populism works. But the right answer isn't to pretend the uncertainty doesn't exist, it's to learn to become comfortable with emerging optionality and, often, what might seem like chaos.
Can't stand Webb and her "quantitative futures," so thank you for this. My comment on futurists like this is always: If someone says "in the future you will..." they're selling something. In her case, it's her latest consulting vehicle.
She needs to read Maggie Jackson's book.
The main problem I had with the likes of Sam Altman and company is their futures cone was described as a single line. That betrays a deterministic desire, not an evolving potential within an interconnected, complex ladder of adjacent possibles.
Thanks for the pointer (Uncertain, right?)!
Yes sir!
I don't blame her for projecting the determinism people want to hear under uncertainty. This is how populism works. But the right answer isn't to pretend the uncertainty doesn't exist, it's to learn to become comfortable with emerging optionality and, often, what might seem like chaos.
I love the quote about press releases!